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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE  
 

Obama Extends Lead But Race Not Over    

 

 

Dublin, Ireland - 11/03/2008

 

On the eve of the 2008 U.S. presidential election, Barack Obama and John McCain are making final arguments to voters in key swing states. Intrade's presidential markets show Obama extending his advantage even as polls show a slight tightening.

 

State

Barack Obama (364 Votes)

John McCain (174 Votes)

Florida (27)

80%

22%

Pennsylvania (21)

89%

11%

Ohio (20)

83%

20%

Georgia (15)

21%

75%

North Carolina (15)

70%

37%

Virginia (13)

86%

14%

Missouri (11)

51%

45%

Indiana (11)

41%

64%

Nevada (5)

82%

15%

New Mexico (5)

92%

11%

North Dakota (3)

29%

73%

Montana (3)

29%

79%

 

At 12:00PM ET today, Intrade market prices indicate Barack Obama has a 91.9% chance to win the White House while John McCain holds out hope with a 9.0% chance.

 

Also as of 12:00PM ET today, Intrade's state-by-state markets indicate Barack Obama is positioned to win states totaling 364 electoral votes to McCain's 174.

 

See realtime updates of battleground states here.

 

Obama is ahead in swing states Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico.

 

John McCain leads in Georgia, Indiana, Montana and North Dakota.

 

Missouri has teetered red and blue in recent days, but as of 12:00PM ET is tilting to Obama.

 

In the Senate, Kay Hagan (84.9%) appears poised to defeat Elizabeth Dole (25%) in North Carolina.

 

Follow these and all other exciting races and late breaking election news on www.intrade.com.

 

But the race is not over and past presidential favorites have suffered last minute upsets.

 

In 1948 Democratic incumbent Harry S. Truman won re-election when nearly all predictions from polls and pundits indicated he would fall in defeat to Republican challenger Thomas E. Dewey.

 

Pollsters blamed the massive failure on changing technologies - land line phones - that hampered their efforts to accurately sample the electorate.

 

For more information contact press@intrade.com

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